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Interesting Topics

Below you will find links to various topics we have covered in a periodic newsletter. We hope you find these insightful and applicable as you explore a possible sale of your minerals and royalties.

For individuals who own mineral interests, selling a portion of their mineral rights can offer several advantages without requiring the sale of their entire interest. Potential advantages include:

  • Retaining Ownership and Flexibility: Selling a portion allows mineral owners to maintain ownership over a portion of their mineral assets, preserving their options for future development or sale. They can choose to sell additional portions or retain the remaining interest for potential future gains.
  • Reducing Exposure: Selling a portion reduces exposure to commodity price volatility and other market conditions affecting the oil and gas industry. 
  • Diversifying Income Streams: Selling a portion can generate a lump sum payment   while preserving the potential for ongoing royalty income from the remaining   mineral interest. 
  • Potential Tax Benefits: Mineral owners may be able to achieve tax benefits by strategically selling a portion of their mineral interest. Consulting with tax professionals can help identify opportunities unique to their individual tax scenario. 

In short, selling a portion of mineral interests can provide mineral owners the ability to retain control over a portion of their assets, diversify their income streams, and benefit from the potential future value of their mineral holdings.


Both Net Mineral Acres (NMA) and Net Royalty Acres (NRA) deal with mineral rights, but they measure different things:

Net Mineral Acres (NMA):

  • Represents your percentage ownership of the mineral rights in a specific area of land
  • Calculated by multiplying the gross acreage by your percentage ownership of the minerals
  • Think of it as your "physical share" of the land's mineral wealth
  • Doesn't directly tell you how much income you'll receive from royalties

Net Royalty Acres (NRA):

  • Represents your potential income from mineral royalties on a specific area of land,   standardized to a 1/8 (12.5%) lease royalty
  • Calculated by multiplying your NMA by your royalty rate (e.g., 25% for an 1/4 royalty) and then dividing that by 1/8.
  • Think of it as the "royalty value" of your share
  • Helps you compare offers for mineral rights by standardizing them based on income potential

Key Differences:

  • Focus: NMA measures ownership share, while NRA measures share of potential revenue
  • Calculation: NMA depends on percentage ownership, while NRA depends on   royalty rate
  • Interpretation: NMA tells you "how much land”, while NRA tells you "how much income."
  • Application: 10 NMA leased at 25% royalty will be worth twice as much as 10   NMA leased at 12.5% royalty

Example:

  • You own 50% of the mineral rights on a 100-acre plot. Your NMA is 50 (100 acres x 50%)
  • If your royalty rate is 25%, your NRA is 100 (50 NMA x 0.25 / 0.125)
  • If your royalty rate is 18.75%, your NRA is 75 (50 NMA x 0.1875 / 0.125)

Remember:

  • NMA and NRA are useful for different purposes
  • When comparing offers for mineral rights, convert them to NRA for a standardized comparison
  • It is helpful to consult a qualified professional for guidance on mineral rights   decisions


Retirement Realities: 

Stepping into retirement is about more than just leisure. It's about financial security. While ongoing royalty income is valuable, a lump sum from selling your interests may provide needed stability. This allows you to invest for long-term growth, diversify your portfolio, and potentially reduce management burdens later in life.

 

Facing Medical Needs:

Life throws curveballs, and sometimes medical necessities demand immediate attention.   Selling your mineral and royalty interests may provide the resources to cover unexpected expenses, secure long-term care, and bring peace of mind during challenging times.

 

Inherited Assets:

Receiving mineral and royalty interests through inheritance can be both a blessing and a   responsibility. Selling a portion or all of these assets may help navigate family dynamics, enable equitable distribution of wealth among heirs, or provide funds for future generations.

 

Debt Consolidation:

Carrying high-interest debt can weigh heavily on your financial well-being. Utilizing a lump sum from selling your interests may help you consolidate debt, lower interest rates, simplify your finances, and improve your overall credit score, freeing up resources for other   aspirations.

 

Career Transitions & New Ventures:

Starting a new business or embarking on a career change can be exciting and daunting.   Selling your mineral and royalty interests may provide the financial springboard to pursue new opportunities, invest in professional development, and navigate potential risks associated with career transitions.

 

Downsizing & Relocation:

Simplifying your life often means less management responsibility. Selling your mineral and   royalty interests may free you from those burdens, providing funds for relocation, new beginnings, and aligning your financial strategy with your evolving lifestyle.

 

Before You Decide:

It's crucial to understand the potential future value of your mineral and royalty interests and the reputation and experience of any potential buyers. Seeking professional advice from qualified financial and legal experts is recommended for making informed decisions tailored to your unique circumstances.


Remember, selling your mineral and royalty interests is a significant decision. By carefully   considering your life stage, financial goals, and future plans, you are better positioned to make informed choices that contribute to your overall financial well-being and navigate life’s crossroads with confidence.


What is a Decline Curve:

A decline curve is a graphical representation of how oil and gas production rates are   expected to decrease over time. Once a well is drilled and production begins, the flow rate naturally declines due to factors like reservoir pressure depletion. The decline curve helps predict this decrease, providing valuable insights into your potential future income stream.

 

How Decline Curves are Used in Evaluations:

Decline curve analysis (DCA) is a technique that utilizes your well's historical production data to create a decline curve. This curve allows for:

  • Estimating Reserves: By analyzing the decline rate, we can estimate the   Estimated Ultimate Recovery (EUR), which is the total amount of oil and gas expected to be extracted from the well.
  • Projecting Future Income: Based on the EUR, decline rate, and future   commodity price assumptions, DCA can project your future royalty payments,   helping you plan your finances.
  • Comparing Wells: Decline curves allow for comparisons between different wells you own or across an entire field. This helps assess the relative productivity of   each asset.

 

Lump Sum Cash Value and Decline Curves:

Decline curves are also crucial in determining the lump sum cash value of your mineral and   royalty interests. This value represents the present worth of all future royalty payments you expect to receive.

Here's how it works:

  • Future Income Projections: Using DCA, we can project your future income based   on the decline curve.
  • Discounting to Present Value: This projected income is then discounted to its   present value using a specific discount rate, reflecting the time value of money.
  • Lump Sum Cash Value: The sum of the discounted future incomes represents the estimated lump sum cash value of your royalty interest.

 

Commodity Pricing and Overall Value:

It's important to understand that the price of oil and gas directly impacts the overall value of your mineral and royalty holdings. While a decline curve predicts production volumes, the commodity price per unit determines the total income generated.


Therefore, even if the decline curve remains constant, fluctuations in oil and gas prices can significantly affect the present value of your royalties and any potential lump sum offers.


What Are Mineral Tax Rolls?

Mineral tax rolls are public records maintained by the county appraisal districts in Texas,   including those in the heart of the oil and gas industry, the Permian Basin. These rolls list the various property owners, including those who own mineral rights, and assign a value to their respective mineral interests. While primarily used for property tax assessment purposes, they provide a foundational overview of mineral ownership and value.

 

Limitations of Mineral Tax Rolls:

While mineral tax rolls are a useful starting point to understand ownership and approximate   value, they have limitations. The information can be outdated, inaccurate due to clerical errors, or incomplete in terms of the extent of mineral ownership. Additionally, the assessed value on the tax roll may not reflect the true market value, especially for non-producing mineral interests.

 

Protecting Your Mineral Interests:

As mineral tax rolls are public records, it's crucial to be aware of their potential uses.   Consider these steps to manage your mineral interests:

  • Review Your Tax Notices: Regularly check your property tax notices for accuracy in mineral ownership and valuation.
  • Understand Your Rights: Educate yourself about your mineral rights and the potential transactions that can occur.

By understanding mineral tax rolls and taking proactive steps, you can better manage your valuable mineral assets.

 

How Mineral Buyers Use Mineral Tax Rolls:

Mineral buyers, particularly those active in the Permian Basin, rely heavily on mineral tax   rolls as a first step in their exploration and acquisition process. They use these rolls to identify potential areas of interest, estimate the number of potential mineral owners who might have an interest in selling all or a portion of their minerals, and begin the process of due diligence.


Mineral buyers understand the limitations of tax rolls and appreciate when mineral owners can provide additional information or correct discrepancies. Accurate and up-to-date   information can streamline the acquisition process and potentially lead to more favorable outcomes for mineral owners.


As an owner of oil and gas minerals and royalties in the Permian Basin, you may have considered selling your minerals and royalties (or at least thought about it!).When considering a potential sale, one common question mineral owners have is:

What would I do with all of that money?!?


Invest for the Future:

  • Stocks and Bonds: Diversify your portfolio by investing in a mix of stocks and bonds.
  • Mutual Funds and ETFs: Expand your investments to include professionally managed funds.
  • Real Estate: Consider investing in properties for rental income or appreciation.
  • Retirement Accounts: Contribute to your retirement savings.

 

Pay Down Debt:

  • Mortgage: Reduce your monthly payments and potentially save on interest.
  • Student Loans: Accelerate your repayment and eliminate debt more quickly.
  • Credit Card Debt: Eliminate high-interest debt.

 

Major Purchases:

  • Home: Purchase a larger or more desirable home.
  • Vehicle: Upgrade your car or truck.
  • Education: Pay for college tuition or professional training.

 

Lifestyle Enhancements:

  • Travel: Explore new destinations and create lasting memories.
  • Hobbies: Pursue your passions and interests.
  • Home Improvements: Make your living space more comfortable and enjoyable.
  • Charitable Giving: Support causes you care about and make a positive impact.

 

Business Ventures:

  • Start a Business: Become your own boss and turn your entrepreneurial dreams into reality.
  • Invest in a Business: Become a partner or investor in an existing company.

 



      

The Foundation: Two Key   Valuation Considerations

When evaluating mineral and royalty interests, particularly in an active area like the Permian Basin, two primary valuation considerations come into play:

  • PDP (Proved Developed Producing): This approach focuses on the value of existing, producing wells. It calculates the present value of the estimated future net revenue from these wells, considering factors like current production rates, the expected decline in future production, operating expenses, and forecasted commodity prices. Essentially, the PDP value reflects the income you're currently receiving as well as the expected future income from existing wells.
  • PUD (Proved Undeveloped): This approach assesses the potential value of future wells that are anticipated, but not yet drilled. It considers the estimated recoverable reserves from these potential future wells, the expected cost of drilling and completion, and the forecasted timing of production. PUD value represents the potential future income from wells that are expected to be drilled.

What This Means for You as a Mineral Owner in the Permian Basin:

  • Understanding Your Current Income (PDP): PDP valuations provide a clearer picture of the immediate income stream your producing wells generate. This is typically the most reliable and straightforward component of your mineral value.
  • Recognizing Future Potential (PUD): PUD valuations reflect the upside potential of your minerals, based on possible future drilling. In the Permian Basin, with its vast resource potential, PUD value may represent a significant portion of the overall value. However, PUD valuations are inherently more difficult, as they depend on uncertain factors like, future commodity prices, future drilling and completion success and future operator development plans
  • Impact on Sales Decisions: When selling, look to understand the breakdown between PDP and PUD. A buyer may offer a lower price for PUD due to the associated uncertainties. Market volatility impacts both PDP and PUD. A downturn in commodity prices can significantly reduce both value components, but especially PUD. Operator's development plans are critical. If your operator has a robust and well understood drilling schedule, your PUD value may be stronger. Conversely, delays, changes, or uncertainty in future development plans can diminish PUD value.
  • Factors Often Affecting Permian Basin Valuations: Technological advancements: Improved drilling and completion techniques can increase both PDP and PUD values. Infrastructure development: Pipeline capacity and processing facilities are essential for maximizing production and value. Regulatory changes: Environmental regulations and permitting processes can impact development plans and valuations. Commodity prices: Oil and gas prices are a significant driver of mineral valuations.

Key Takeaways:

  • PDP represents the current value of your producing wells.
  • PUD reflects the potential future value of planned wells, which is more uncertain.
  • When considering a sale, understand the breakdown between PDP and PUD and how it impacts the offered price.


This material should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. This material serves as general information only and is not a solicitation to partake in any action.  To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice. To the extent that it includes references to securities, those references do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold such security, and the information may not be current. It does not constitute a recommendation or a statement of opinion, or a report of either of those things and does not, and is not intended, to take into account the particular investment objectives, financial conditions, or needs of individual clients. The material is based on information that we consider accurate and any estimates, opinions, conclusions or recommendations contained in this document are reasonably held or made as at the time of compilation. However, no warranty is made as to the accuracy or reliability of any estimates, opinions, conclusions or recommendations. 

Allegro Mineral Partners LLC

info@allegrominerals.com

832.895.7030 


Allegro Mineral Partners LLC is a Registered Investment Adviser 

Copyright © 2023 Allegro Mineral Partners - All Rights Reserved.

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